Sunday 9 September 2012

Romney will Lose Virginia


A devastating blow has been dealt to Romney in Virginia. The state is one of the seven swing states that Romney really needs to win if he wishes to become President. The problem for Romney is that a third candidate is to appear on the ballot alongside himself and Obama. The other candidates name is Virgil Goode, he represented Virginia’s 5th Congressional district from 1997 until 2009. Originally he represented the Democratic Party until 2000 before becoming an independent, eventually joining the Republican Party in 2002. After losing his seat in 2009 he has left the Republican Party to join the Constitution Party and is their 2012 Presidential Nominee. Although he has absolutely no national standing, he is well known in Virginia and is very popular amongst many Conservatives, especially in the south-west of the state. In a swing state like Virginia, Romney will need every single vote; the problem here is that every vote for Goode is taking a vote away from Romney. Some polls put Goode as high as 9%, if Goode manages to stay on the ballot Obama will win Virginia.

Although Goode has qualified to appear on the ballot in Virginia, he can still be removed from the ballot if the attorney general of Virginia, Ken Cuccinelli, decides not to allow him on the ballot. Oh and he’s a Republican.

As well as this bad news from Virginia, Romney and his super PACs have pulled their money from Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. The current polls coming out of those three states are very bad for Mitt Romney, so he’s decided to pull the money from those three states and concentrate on the remaining eight states.

Below is a map of America, red states are almost certainly voting Romney and blue states are almost certainly voting Obama. The grey states are the ones in which both campaigns believe they can win, considering Nevada and New Hampshire are both leaning towards Obama relatively strongly this is a good map for Obama. If Goode manages to stay on the ballot in Virginia, then it is a lost cause too. 


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