Friday 21 September 2012

Romney Campaign in Free Fall

Did you read my title? They're not my words, they're the words of a Republican staffer. It would seem that the campaign has been lurching from one crisis to another with no sense of direction. Ever since the convention, Romney has been very quiet compared with his Democratic opponents. The weekend after the convention Romney did not give one single speech and the only event to which the press were invited was one in which Romney went boating... Bizarre, right?

In the past few days Romney has not been doing a lot, on Saturday and Sunday he was at home in Massachusetts; although he was originally meant to have a campaign event on Sunday it was cancelled. On Monday he was in California and on Tuesday he had fundraisers in Utah and Texas. None of those states are swing states. If Romney wants to win the election in November he's going to have to do a lot of campaigning in the swing states. Current poll averages at the Huffington Post show that Obama leads Romney in all of the nine swing states, except North Carolina which is a dead heat.

The latest scandal to hit the Romney campaign could prove devastating, Mother Jones published a video on Monday of Romney at a private campaign event in April. During the event he made a number of comments that could prove ruinous to his presidential aspirations. Romney claimed that 47% of Americans would never vote for him as they didn't pay income taxes and that they basically free-loaded off the government, this has been met with a furious reaction by the public. It is also quite missleading, although 47% of Americans do not pay income taxes, a majority of them pay payroll taxes (this is how social security and medicare are paid) and of the remaining 18%, 8% are seniors and 9% earn less than $20,000 pa. It's also been pointed out on many liberal websites that the states where the majority of the 47%ers reside, are strong red states. In fact of  the 10 states with the highest amount of non-payers only New Mexico is strongly Democratic as well as the swing state of Florida, the other eight states are all red; Idaho, Texas, Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia and South Carolina.

Could this be the moment that the Romney campaign implodes? Unless Romney stuns everyone in the debates, the Republicans have no hope.

No comments:

Post a Comment