Saturday 20 April 2013

2014 Gubernatorial Races - Republicans Defending


Alabama:

The solidly Republican state will likely elect Republican Robert Bentley to another term in office.

Alaska:

Another solidly Republican state unlikely to elect a Democrat. A PPP poll in February showed incumbent Sean Parnell beating all likely Democratic opponents by large margins. Parnell has not declared if he will run or not.

Arizona:

Governor Jan Brewer is not eligible to seek election to a second consecutive full term, but is trying to see how she can get around the ban. Arizona will probably remain Republican regardless, but Richard Carmona, who ran for Senate in 2012 could put up a worthy challenge.

Florida:

This will be one of the most hotly contested races in the country as incumbent governor Rick Scott is quite popular. Charlie Crist, now a Democrat, will likely attempt a challenge for the governorship. All polling done so far shows Crist beating Scott by wide margins.

Georgia:

With Democrats eyeing up Georgia’s open Senate seat, the governorship will likely stay in the hands of Nathan Deal.

Idaho:

The Democrats have little hope against Butch Otter in 2014. He is a popular Republican in a very red state.

Iowa:

Democrats will have their eye firmly on the open Senate seat. If Republicans manage to flip the seat then it could hand the senate to Republicans! This takes the heat off Governor Terry Branstad if he decides to run.

Kansas:

If Governor Sam Brownback decides to run then it will be a cake walk for Republicans. If Brownback doesn’t run, it will still be a cake walk. Kansas is seriously Republican.

Maine:

Along with Florida, Maine could be one of the most interesting races of 2014. The unpopular Paul LePage was elected in 2010 in a competitive three way race. A repeat of that could mean that he might eke out a victory. If it’s only a two way race then LePage would probably lose.

Michigan:

Michigan is another Republican controlled state likely to go blue. Governor Rick Snyder is deeply unpopular with a disapproval rating of 54%! According to PPP, Snyder is beaten by every Democrat they polled on.

Nebraska:

Although incumbent governor, Dave Heineman, is ineligible for re-election, things are unlikely to turn blue in this red state.

Nevada:

Incumbent governor, Brian Sandoval, is highly likely to be re-elected according to current polling.

New Mexico:

Despite the highly Democratic nature of the state, New Mexico looks likely to re-elect Susana Martinez according to polling!

Ohio:

Although it is looking OK for John Kasich at the moment, Ohio could become a battleground as the election draws closer.

Oklahoma:

It would be a massive surprise if Oklahoma turned blue in 2014.

Pennsylvania:

Governor Tom Corbett’s position is looking worse by the day with Democrats beating him by large margins in a recent PPP poll. Pennsylvania is looking increasingly likely to turn blue in 2014.

South Carolina:

It may surprise you but in 2014, South Carolina could be a close race! Nikki Haley is not popular in South Carolina and a PPP poll in December showed her actually losing to Democrat Vincent Sheheen! Yet there were a good few people who were undecided, so this race will still be difficult for Democrats.

South Dakota:

There’s little question that Republicans will keep South Dakota red in the 2014 race, regardless of what incumbent Dennis Daugaard decides to do. Democrats are much more focused on the Senate seat which will be vacated by Tim Johnson. As in Iowa, control of the SD senate seat could determine who controls the Senate.

Tennessee:

Republican Bill Halsam will almost certainly win re-election in 2014.

Texas:

Governor Rick Perry could run again in 2014 and would be favoured to win another term.

Wisconsin:

Unless he really screws up, Scott Walker will likely win re-election. In 2012 Democrats tried to recall him but he managed to cling on, winning 52.3% of the vote.

Wyoming:

The Democrats have no hope of winning extremely red Wyoming.

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