Yesterday was election night, but what will the results mean
for the country?
There are a number of different elections going on across
England, Wales and Scotland (no voting in Northern Ireland). What the majority
of people consider the most important is the mayoral election in London. The
mayor of London is arguably the most powerful politician outside of the cabinet
in the UK and so it is very important to both Labour and the Conservatives. Last
time Boris Johnson won due to his “doughnut strategy” this was whereby he targeted
the London suburbs where there are more Conservatives to be found. Now aware of
this strategy Ken Livingstone has also targeted these areas, his promise to cut
rail fares pleases many voters in places such as Bexleyheath.
Outside of London there are also very important elections in
Birmingham and Glasgow. Currently one party does not control the Birmingham
city council; instead it is ruled by a coalition between Conservatives and
Liberal Democrats. To win Birmingham outright Labour need a swing of just 2.5%,
for the Labour Party this would be particularly important as it would send out
a message that the tide is turning against Conservative-Lib Dem coalitions. The
results in Glasgow could be extremely important, if the SNP manage to take
control of Glasgow, or at least make sure no party gets an overall majority,
then it would prove a devastating blow for Labour. It would also be a phenomenal
victory for the SNP and give them hope for the 2014 referendum.
Wales is looking likely to go Labour’s way, Labour hopes to
prise the likes of Swansea away from the Liberal Democrats and outright win
Cardiff, Labour has called on the Welsh people to “send the vicious government
a message”.
If the elections were to be a great night for Labour, they’d
win London, Glasgow, Birmingham and Wales outright, on an alright night they
might lose London and on a bad night Birmingham would not fall there way. If
Glasgow or Wales were not to vote for Labour it could mark the beginning of the
end for Labour, if an alternative party were to rise.
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