The crisis in Greece continues as the three main parties
have failed to thrash out a coalition agreement. They have agreed that another
general election will be held in the coming weeks, this election is completely
unpredictable with some experts believe that after voting for anti-bailout
parties in the last election, people will move back to the centre. Yet most
experts believe that the anti-bailout parties will gain more ground the next
time the Greeks go to the polls.
SYRIZA leader, Alex Tsipras |
If the Germans and Brussels want to avoid the anti-bailout
parties winning they must negotiate ASAP with the pro-bailout parties, give
them some concessions. Then PASOK and New Democracy can go to the voters and tell
them that the bailout can still work, in the hopes of marginalising SYRIZA. The
reality is, if SYRIZA were able to form an anti-bailout party after the next
general election, then Greece would almost certainly go bust and have to leave the
Euro which would have devastating affects around the EU. Spain, where borrowing
is almost unsustainable already, would need a bailout immediately and any
chance of a recovery in Ireland or Portugal would be out of the question.
Likely Greece would drag the rest of the world back into recession. This could
result in a break-up of the Euro and a destruction of the economies of the
PIIGS countries, this could be worse for Germany than many other countries, as
Germany’s central bank has lent €644 billion euros to other European central
banks and a break-up of the Euro would mean that it wouldn't get most of that
money back. Germany must defend Greece from financial collapse, otherwise the
country will suffer the consequences.
No comments:
Post a Comment