The Civil War in Syria has been raging for almost three
years and doesn’t look like it is ending anytime soon. So far an estimated
165,000 people have been killed in the bloodshed that has created 3,000,000
refugees.
Fighting continues across the country between the rebels
and the government for control of land. As the horrors of the war become more
and more vivid, and especially after President Bashar Al-Assad used chemical
weapons, the West began to prepare for war. Going to war because of suspected
chemical weapons? For many in the West this brought back horrible memories of
the Iraq War, an invasion that was built on the lie that Iraq had Weapons of
Mass Destruction (WMD). In September a poll showed 72% of Europeans and 62% of
Americans opposed military intervention. Nonetheless, the march to war has
begun and surely nothing could stop it!
Wrong! It turned out that war was not inevitable! In
Britain war was surprisingly stopped by Parliament of all places. What was meant
to be a largely symbolic vote in favour of intervention if Syria turned out did use chemical weapons, turned into one of
the biggest news stories of the year. The vote failed 285-272, the first time
Parliament had voted against any sort of Act of War in centuries. This did
major damage to Britain’s prestige and to the war movement. Despite this
setback, America and France continued to gear up for war. What really rocked
the military, and averted Western intervention, was thanks to American
Secretary of State John Kerry. It was also a complete accident on Kerry’s
behalf.
In a news conference, Kerry was asked by Margaret Brennan
of CBS News if there was anything the Syrian government could do to prevent an
American bombing. Kerry said that the only way for Syria to prevent
intervention would be for it to give up its chemical weapons immediately. Kerry
immediately derided it as impossible and moved on to the next question. Well
that off-hand comment ended up being the most important in all of 2013 (well at
least the most important one that’s publically known). Almost as soon as that
clip was aired around the world, the Syrians and Russians pounced on it.
Seeing it as the only opportunity to prevent a Western
intervention, Syria promised that it would allow United Nations weapons
inspectors into the country. Syria would then hand over all chemical weapons to
be safely destroyed! By September an agreement was reached that would result in
the elimination of all Syria’s chemical weapons by mid-2014. In October the UN
declared that all of Syria’s facilities that could create chemical weapons had
been destroyed.
Despite the success with chemical weapons, Syria is far
from resolved. Removing chemical weapons does nothing to reduce the death and
destruction occurring in the Middle Eastern country. Unfortunately there seems
to be very little chance of the Civil War easing up at all this year. I am
making the rather horribly prediction that the Syrian war will continue as
bloody as ever. By the end of the year at least 200,000 people will be dead.
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