Immigration has been at the centre of British politics for
years now. On one side you have cries to close the border totally and on the
other to actively increasing immigration. In 2012 517,000 people immigrated to
the UK whilst 349,000 emigrated from it, resulting in a net migration of
+168,000. Preliminary estimates for 2013 show this rising slightly to 183,000
with 320,000 people leaving and 503,000 arriving. Considering that David
Cameron and the Tories promised to curb immigration, this reflects poorly on
them with their base.
Part of the problem for the Conservative Party is that they
legally cannot do anything to stop people coming from the EU. The only
countries that can face restrictions are Bulgaria and Romania who joined the EU
in 2007. Unfortunately for the Tories, these restrictions must be lifted
following the end of 2013. This is predicted to cause a mild spike in
immigration next year. Rising immigration could prove disastrous for the Tories
leading into the 2015 election. They are extremely fearful of UKIP whose twin
issues are immigration and the EU. The Tories fear that if they do not appear
conservative enough on the EU and immigration then UKIP will pull enough votes
from them to guarantee a 2015 electoral defeat.
Cue hysteria in the Conservative Party!
David Cameron has announced support for a cap on EU migrants
at 75,000 per year! The proposed cap is blatantly illegal and would destroy
Britain’s relationship with Europe. Cameron has also proposed changes to
benefits which are much more sensible (not to mention legal). New immigrants
will not be able to claim benefits for the first three months and benefits will
stop after six months if they cannot find a job and have no hope of finding
one.